All House races
KY-06
Lean RKentucky · Current: Andy Barr (not running)
Republican
Ralph Alvarado
Ralph A. Alvarado is an American physician and politician who most recently served as the 15th Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Health from 2023 until his resignation in 2025. He previously served as a member of the Kentucky Senate, representing Kentucky's 28th Senate district from 2015 to 2023. Upon taking office, he became the first Hispanic person elected to the Kentucky General Assembly. Wikipedia
Raised $1.5M · Spent $1.1M · Cash $398K (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
42.5%38.3%
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 5 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-09-30 · 401 LVD 42%R 37%D +5
- 2026-08-23 · 400 LVD 45%R 44%D +1
- 2026-07-30 · 474D 47%R 47%Even
- 2026-06-28 · 440D 39%R 42%R +3
- 2026-04-25 · 675 RVD 37%R 37%Even
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR(D)C | 2026-09-30 | 401 LV | 42% | 37% | D +5 |
| Lake Research Partners(D)C | 2026-08-23 | 400 LV | 45% | 44% | D +1 |
| DCCC(D)C | 2026-07-30 | 474 | 47% | 47% | Even |
| GQR(D)C | 2026-06-28 | 440 | 39% | 42% | R +3 |
| Public Policy Polling(D)B | 2026-04-25 | 675 RV | 37% | 37% | Even |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportLikely R
- Inside ElectionsLean R
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean R
- The EconomistLean R
- Split TicketLean R
- Decision Desk HQLikely R
- FPOLean R
- Fox NewsLikely R
- Silver BulletinLikely R
- RealClearPoliticsLean R
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).