House races
225
Dem
12
Toss-up
198
Rep
Net shift vs. today: Dems +11 to +23 · Majority = 218
All seats by consensus rating
Click boxes to filter the list below; select several to combine them. Consensus = average of the raters shown on each race. Seats not individually rated are counted as Safe.
Competitive races (45)
Toss-ups and Lean races, closest first. Click a box above to see other ratings.
- MI-10Toss-upMichiganChristina Hines vs Mike Bouchard Jr.Poll average Even · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- TX-35Toss-upTexasJohnny Garcia vs Carlos De La CruzPoll average R +1.0 · 1 poll · Held by New seat
- MI-04Toss-upMichiganSean McCann vs Bill HuizengaPoll average D +1.0 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- IA-02Toss-upIowaLindsay James vs Joe MitchellPoll average D +1.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- FL-22Toss-upFloridaPia Dandiya vs Casey AskarPoll average D +1.3 · 2 polls · Held by New seat
- PA-08Toss-upPennsylvaniaPaige Cognetti vs Rob BresnahanPoll average D +1.6 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- NC-11Toss-upNorth CarolinaJamie Ager vs Jennifer BalkcomPoll average D +3.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- VA-01Toss-upVirginiaShannon Taylor vs Rob WittmanPoll average D +3.4 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- PA-01Toss-upPennsylvaniaBob Harvie vs Brian FitzpatrickPoll average R +6.5 · 5 polls · Held by Rep
- NC-01Toss-upNorth CarolinaDon Davis vs Laurie BuckhoutPoll average D +6.9 · 4 polls · Held by Dem
- OH-07Toss-upOhioBrian Poindexter vs Max MillerPoll average D +8.8 · 5 polls · Held by Rep
- TX-15Toss-upTexasBobby Pulido vs Monica De La CruzPoll average D +9.8 · 5 polls · Held by Rep
- FL-09Lean RFloridaDarren Soto vs Dan GreenPoll average Even · 1 poll · Held by Dem
- VA-02Lean DVirginiaElaine Luria vs Jen KiggansPoll average Even · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- OH-09Lean DOhioMarcy Kaptur vs Derek MerrinPoll average Even · 2 polls · Held by Dem
- WI-01Lean RWisconsinMitchell Berman vs Bryan SteilPoll average D +0.4 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- MT-01Lean RMontanaSam Forstag vs Aaron FlintPoll average D +0.4 · 6 polls · Held by Rep
- FL-27Lean RFloridaEliott Rodriguez vs Maria Elvira SalazarPoll average R +0.7 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- NY-17Lean DNew YorkCait Conley vs Mike LawlerPoll average D +0.8 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- FL-13Lean RFloridaLeela Gray vs Anna Paulina LunaPoll average D +0.8 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- CO-03Lean RColoradoDwayne Romero vs Jeff HurdPoll average R +1.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- CO-05Lean RColoradoJessica Killin vs Jeff CrankPoll average R +1.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- MO-02Lean RMissouriFred Wellman vs Ann WagnerPoll average R +1.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- WA-03Lean DWashingtonMarie Gluesenkamp Perez vs John BraunPoll average R +1.2 · 5 polls · Held by Dem
- AZ-01Lean DArizonaAmish Shah vs Jay FeelyPoll average D +2.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- CO-08Lean DColoradoManny Rutinel vs Gabe EvansPoll average R +2.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- FL-07Lean RFloridaBale Dalton vs Ryan ElijahPoll average D +2.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- TX-23Lean RTexasKaty Padilla Stout vs Brandon HerreraPoll average R +2.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- MI-07Lean DMichiganWilliam Lawrence vs Tom BarrettPoll average D +2.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- AZ-06Lean DArizonaJoAnna Mendoza vs Juan CiscomaniPoll average D +2.0 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- TX-34Lean DTexasVicente Gonzalez vs Eric FloresPoll average D +2.9 · 3 polls · Held by Dem
- PA-10Lean DPennsylvaniaJanelle Stelson vs Scott PerryPoll average D +3.0 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- WI-03Lean DWisconsinRebecca Cooke vs Derrick Van OrdenPoll average D +4.0 · 4 polls · Held by Rep
- ME-02Lean RMaineMatthew Dunlap vs Paul LePagePoll average D +4.2 · 8 polls · Held by Dem
- KY-06Lean RKentuckyZach Dembo vs Ralph AlvaradoPoll average D +4.3 · 5 polls · Held by Rep
- SC-01Lean RSouth CarolinaNancy Lacore vs Jenny Costa HoneycuttPoll average R +4.6 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- PA-07Lean DPennsylvaniaBob Brooks vs Ryan MackenziePoll average D +5.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- NJ-07Lean DNew JerseyRebecca Bennett vs Thomas Kean Jr.Poll average D +5.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- IA-01Lean DIowaChristina Bohannan vs Mariannette Miller-MeeksPoll average D +5.0 · 2 polls · Held by Rep
- VA-05Lean RVirginiaTom Perriello vs John McGuirePoll average R +5.2 · 3 polls · Held by Rep
- IA-03Lean DIowaSarah Trone Garriott vs Zach NunnPoll average R +6.0 · 1 poll · Held by Rep
- FL-14Lean DFloridaKathy Castor vs Mike BeltranPoll average D +8.0 · 1 poll · Held by Dem
- FL-25Lean DFloridaJared Moskowitz vs Scott SingerPoll average D +10.0 · 1 poll · Held by Dem
- TX-28Lean DTexasHenry Cuellar vs Tano TijerinaPoll average D +10.7 · 2 polls · Held by Dem
- CA-22Lean DCaliforniaIncumbent: David ValadaoPoll average – · 0 polls · Held by Rep
| Matchup | Rating | Poll average | Polls | Held by | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MI-10 Michigan | Christina Hines vs Mike Bouchard Jr. | Toss-up | Even | 2 | Rep |
| TX-35 Texas | Johnny Garcia vs Carlos De La Cruz | Toss-up | R +1.0 | 1 | New seat |
| MI-04 Michigan | Sean McCann vs Bill Huizenga | Toss-up | D +1.0 | 4 | Rep |
| IA-02 Iowa | Lindsay James vs Joe Mitchell | Toss-up | D +1.0 | 2 | Rep |
| FL-22 Florida | Pia Dandiya vs Casey Askar | Toss-up | D +1.3 | 2 | New seat |
| PA-08 Pennsylvania | Paige Cognetti vs Rob Bresnahan | Toss-up | D +1.6 | 3 | Rep |
| NC-11 North Carolina | Jamie Ager vs Jennifer Balkcom | Toss-up | D +3.0 | 1 | Rep |
| VA-01 Virginia | Shannon Taylor vs Rob Wittman | Toss-up | D +3.4 | 3 | Rep |
| PA-01 Pennsylvania | Bob Harvie vs Brian Fitzpatrick | Toss-up | R +6.5 | 5 | Rep |
| NC-01 North Carolina | Don Davis vs Laurie Buckhout | Toss-up | D +6.9 | 4 | Dem |
| OH-07 Ohio | Brian Poindexter vs Max Miller | Toss-up | D +8.8 | 5 | Rep |
| TX-15 Texas | Bobby Pulido vs Monica De La Cruz | Toss-up | D +9.8 | 5 | Rep |
| FL-09 Florida | Darren Soto vs Dan Green | Lean R | Even | 1 | Dem |
| VA-02 Virginia | Elaine Luria vs Jen Kiggans | Lean D | Even | 1 | Rep |
| OH-09 Ohio | Marcy Kaptur vs Derek Merrin | Lean D | Even | 2 | Dem |
| WI-01 Wisconsin | Mitchell Berman vs Bryan Steil | Lean R | D +0.4 | 4 | Rep |
| MT-01 Montana | Sam Forstag vs Aaron Flint | Lean R | D +0.4 | 6 | Rep |
| FL-27 Florida | Eliott Rodriguez vs Maria Elvira Salazar | Lean R | R +0.7 | 3 | Rep |
| NY-17 New York | Cait Conley vs Mike Lawler | Lean D | D +0.8 | 4 | Rep |
| FL-13 Florida | Leela Gray vs Anna Paulina Luna | Lean R | D +0.8 | 4 | Rep |
| CO-03 Colorado | Dwayne Romero vs Jeff Hurd | Lean R | R +1.0 | 1 | Rep |
| CO-05 Colorado | Jessica Killin vs Jeff Crank | Lean R | R +1.0 | 2 | Rep |
| MO-02 Missouri | Fred Wellman vs Ann Wagner | Lean R | R +1.0 | 2 | Rep |
| WA-03 Washington | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs John Braun | Lean D | R +1.2 | 5 | Dem |
| AZ-01 Arizona | Amish Shah vs Jay Feely | Lean D | D +2.0 | 1 | Rep |
| CO-08 Colorado | Manny Rutinel vs Gabe Evans | Lean D | R +2.0 | 1 | Rep |
| FL-07 Florida | Bale Dalton vs Ryan Elijah | Lean R | D +2.0 | 1 | Rep |
| TX-23 Texas | Katy Padilla Stout vs Brandon Herrera | Lean R | R +2.0 | 1 | Rep |
| MI-07 Michigan | William Lawrence vs Tom Barrett | Lean D | D +2.0 | 2 | Rep |
| AZ-06 Arizona | JoAnna Mendoza vs Juan Ciscomani | Lean D | D +2.0 | 3 | Rep |
| TX-34 Texas | Vicente Gonzalez vs Eric Flores | Lean D | D +2.9 | 3 | Dem |
| PA-10 Pennsylvania | Janelle Stelson vs Scott Perry | Lean D | D +3.0 | 4 | Rep |
| WI-03 Wisconsin | Rebecca Cooke vs Derrick Van Orden | Lean D | D +4.0 | 4 | Rep |
| ME-02 Maine | Matthew Dunlap vs Paul LePage | Lean R | D +4.2 | 8 | Dem |
| KY-06 Kentucky | Zach Dembo vs Ralph Alvarado | Lean R | D +4.3 | 5 | Rep |
| SC-01 South Carolina | Nancy Lacore vs Jenny Costa Honeycutt | Lean R | R +4.6 | 3 | Rep |
| PA-07 Pennsylvania | Bob Brooks vs Ryan Mackenzie | Lean D | D +5.0 | 2 | Rep |
| NJ-07 New Jersey | Rebecca Bennett vs Thomas Kean Jr. | Lean D | D +5.0 | 2 | Rep |
| IA-01 Iowa | Christina Bohannan vs Mariannette Miller-Meeks | Lean D | D +5.0 | 2 | Rep |
| VA-05 Virginia | Tom Perriello vs John McGuire | Lean R | R +5.2 | 3 | Rep |
| IA-03 Iowa | Sarah Trone Garriott vs Zach Nunn | Lean D | R +6.0 | 1 | Rep |
| FL-14 Florida | Kathy Castor vs Mike Beltran | Lean D | D +8.0 | 1 | Dem |
| FL-25 Florida | Jared Moskowitz vs Scott Singer | Lean D | D +10.0 | 1 | Dem |
| TX-28 Texas | Henry Cuellar vs Tano Tijerina | Lean D | D +10.7 | 2 | Dem |
| CA-22 California | Incumbent: David Valadao | Lean D | – | 0 | Rep |