Senate races
48
Dem
6
Toss-up
46
Rep
Net shift vs. today: Dems +1 to +7 · Majority = 51
All seats by consensus rating
Click boxes to filter the list below; select several to combine them. Consensus = average of the raters shown on each race. Seats not individually rated are counted as Safe.
Competitive races (11)
Toss-ups and Lean races, closest first. Click a box above to see other ratings.
- Nebraska SenateToss-upNebraskaPete Ricketts vs Dan Osborn (I)Poll average Even · 11 polls · Held by Rep
- Iowa SenateToss-upIowaJosh Turek vs Ashley HinsonPoll average D +1.9 · 26 polls · Held by Rep
- Maine SenateToss-upMaineTroy Jackson vs Susan CollinsPoll average D +2.0 · 22 polls · Held by Rep
- Alaska SenateToss-upAlaskaMary Peltola vs Dan S. SullivanPoll average D +3.4 · 26 polls · Held by Rep
- Texas SenateToss-upTexasJames Talarico vs Ken PaxtonPoll average D +3.6 · 46 polls · Held by Rep
- Ohio SenateToss-upOhioSherrod Brown vs Jon HustedPoll average D +4.0 · 30 polls · Held by Rep
- Kansas SenateLean RKansasAdam Hamilton vs Roger MarshallPoll average D +1.8 · 12 polls · Held by Rep
- Michigan SenateLean DMichiganAbdul El-Sayed vs Mike RogersPoll average D +3.0 · 44 polls · Held by Dem
- New Hampshire SenateLean DNew HampshireChris Pappas vs John E. SununuPoll average D +6.6 · 26 polls · Held by Dem
- Minnesota SenateLean DMinnesotaIncumbent: Tina SmithPoll average – · 0 polls · Held by Dem
- South Dakota SenateSafe RSouth DakotaMike Rounds vs Brian Bengs (I)Poll average R +4.2 · 9 polls · Held by Rep
| Matchup | Rating | Poll average | Polls | Held by | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Senate Nebraska | Pete Ricketts vs Dan Osborn (I) | Toss-up | Even | 11 | Rep |
| Iowa Senate Iowa | Josh Turek vs Ashley Hinson | Toss-up | D +1.9 | 26 | Rep |
| Maine Senate Maine | Troy Jackson vs Susan Collins | Toss-up | D +2.0 | 22 | Rep |
| Alaska Senate Alaska | Mary Peltola vs Dan S. Sullivan | Toss-up | D +3.4 | 26 | Rep |
| Texas Senate Texas | James Talarico vs Ken Paxton | Toss-up | D +3.6 | 46 | Rep |
| Ohio Senate Ohio | Sherrod Brown vs Jon Husted | Toss-up | D +4.0 | 30 | Rep |
| Kansas Senate Kansas | Adam Hamilton vs Roger Marshall | Lean R | D +1.8 | 12 | Rep |
| Michigan Senate Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers | Lean D | D +3.0 | 44 | Dem |
| New Hampshire Senate New Hampshire | Chris Pappas vs John E. Sununu | Lean D | D +6.6 | 26 | Dem |
| Minnesota Senate Minnesota | Incumbent: Tina Smith | Lean D | – | 0 | Dem |
| South Dakota Senate South Dakota | Mike Rounds vs Brian Bengs (I) | Safe R | R +4.2 | 9 | Rep |