Iowa Senate
Toss-upIowa · Current: Joni Ernst (not running)
Joshua Mark Turek is an American politician and wheelchair basketball player serving as a member of the Iowa House of Representatives from the 20th district. He is the Democratic nominee in the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa. Wikipedia
Raised $6.3M · Spent $3.9M · Cash $2.4M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Ashley Elizabeth Hinson is an American politician and journalist serving as the U.S. representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district since 2021. The district, numbered as the 1st district during her first term, covers much of northeastern Iowa, including Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, Cedar Falls, and Dubuque. Wikipedia
Raised $10.2M · Spent $5.4M · Cash $6.7M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 26 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-10-04 · 500 LVD 48%R 44%D +4
- 2026-10-01 · 606 LVD 47%R 48%R +1
- 2026-09-30 · 1,048 LVD 47%R 43%D +4
- 2026-09-29 · 738 LVD 46%R 47%R +1
- 2026-09-28 · 1,008 LVD 49%R 47%D +2
- 2026-09-23 · 1,200 LVD 47%R 46%D +1
- 2026-09-20 · 1,050 RVD 50%R 42%D +8
- 2026-09-18 · 1,089 LVD 42%R 44%R +2
- 2026-09-16 · 831 LVD 42%R 46%R +4
- 2026-09-11 · 500 LVD 43%R 43%Even
- 2026-09-10 · 1,031 LVD 45%R 40%D +5
- 2026-09-08 · 2,041 LVD 47%R 43%D +4
- 2026-09-01 · 750 LVD 45%R 50%R +5
- 2026-08-31 · 800 LVD 46%R 42%D +4
- 2026-08-29 · 600 LVD 48%R 50%R +2
- 2026-08-28 · 323 LVD 54%R 45%D +9
- 2026-08-23 · 500 LVD 41%R 45%R +4
- 2026-08-04 · 712 LVD 45%R 48%R +3
- 2026-06-27 · 1,003 RVD 50%R 46%D +4
- 2026-06-27 · 600 LVD 46%R 48%R +2
- 2026-06-19 · 600 LVD 44%R 46%R +2
- 2026-06-11 · 1,000 LVD 47%R 45%D +2
- 2026-06-04 · 557 RVD 46%R 46%Even
- 2026-04-09 · 377 LVD 46%R 45%D +1
- 2026-03-16 · 1,200 LVD 43%R 47%R +4
- 2026-01-11 · 1,108 LVD 41%R 44%R +3
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk UniversityA | 2026-10-04 | 500 LV | 48% | 44% | D +4 |
| New York Times/Siena UniversityA | 2026-10-01 | 606 LV | 47% | 48% | R +1 |
| Rasmussen Reports(R)C | 2026-09-30 | 1,048 LV | 47% | 43% | D +4 |
| Quantus Insights(R)C | 2026-09-29 | 738 LV | 46% | 47% | R +1 |
| Beacon Research /Shaw & Co. Research(D)A | 2026-09-28 | 1,008 LV | 49% | 47% | D +2 |
| InsiderAdvantage(R)C | 2026-09-23 | 1,200 LV | 47% | 46% | D +1 |
| Marist UniversityA | 2026-09-20 | 1,050 RV | 50% | 42% | D +8 |
| Trafalgar Group(R)C | 2026-09-18 | 1,089 LV | 42% | 44% | R +2 |
| co/efficient(R)C | 2026-09-16 | 831 LV | 42% | 46% | R +4 |
| Cygnal(R)C | 2026-09-11 | 500 LV | 43% | 43% | Even |
| Rasmussen Reports(R)C | 2026-09-10 | 1,031 LV | 45% | 40% | D +5 |
| YouGovB | 2026-09-08 | 2,041 LV | 47% | 43% | D +4 |
| Emerson CollegeA | 2026-09-01 | 750 LV | 45% | 50% | R +5 |
| Global Strategy Group(D)C | 2026-08-31 | 800 LV | 46% | 42% | D +4 |
| Wedgewood PollsC | 2026-08-29 | 600 LV | 48% | 50% | R +2 |
| Abacus DataC | 2026-08-28 | 323 LV | 54% | 45% | D +9 |
| Suffolk UniversityA | 2026-08-23 | 500 LV | 41% | 45% | R +4 |
| Emerson CollegeA | 2026-08-04 | 712 LV | 45% | 48% | R +3 |
| Beacon Research /Shaw & Co. Research(D)A | 2026-06-27 | 1,003 RV | 50% | 46% | D +4 |
| New York Times/Siena UniversityA | 2026-06-27 | 600 LV | 46% | 48% | R +2 |
| Cygnal(R)C | 2026-06-19 | 600 LV | 44% | 46% | R +2 |
| Global Strategy Group(D)C | 2026-06-11 | 1,000 LV | 47% | 45% | D +2 |
| Public Policy Polling(D)B | 2026-06-04 | 557 RV | 46% | 46% | Even |
| Echelon Insights(R)B | 2026-04-09 | 377 LV | 46% | 45% | D +1 |
| GQR(D)C | 2026-03-16 | 1,200 LV | 43% | 47% | R +4 |
| Change Research(D)C | 2026-01-11 | 1,108 LV | 41% | 44% | R +3 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportToss-up
- Decision Desk HQToss-up
- The EconomistToss-up
- FPOToss-up
- Fox NewsToss-up
- Inside ElectionsLean R
- RealClearPoliticsToss-up
- Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up
- Silver BulletinToss-up
- Split TicketToss-up
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).