All Senate races
Michigan Senate
Lean DMichigan · Current: Gary Peters (not running)
Democrat
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed is an American epidemiologist and politician who is the Democratic nominee in the 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan. Wikipedia
Republican
Mike Rogers
Michael J. Rogers is an American law enforcement officer and politician who served from 2001 to 2015 as the U.S. representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district. A member of the Republican Party, he chaired the United States House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence from 2011 to 2015. Wikipedia
Raised $10.9M · Spent $6.7M · Cash $4.5M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
48.1%45.1%
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 44 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-10-06 · 762 LVD 48%R 47%D +1
- 2026-10-04 · 3,949 LVD 49%R 48%D +1
- 2026-10-01 · 682 LVD 46%R 41%D +5
- 2026-09-30 · 1,085 LVD 47%R 45%D +2
- 2026-09-28 · 1,028 LVD 50%R 49%D +1
- 2026-09-27 · 1,235 RVD 51%R 44%D +7
- 2026-09-24 · 678 LVD 47%R 42%D +5
- 2026-09-23 · 843 LVD 45%R 45%Even
- 2026-09-22 · 800 LVD 48%R 44%D +4
- 2026-09-22 · 605 LVD 49%R 44%D +5
- 2026-09-21 · 600 LVD 45%R 40%D +5
- 2026-09-20 · 500 LVD 47%R 40%D +7
- 2026-09-19 · 643 LVD 43%R 44%R +1
- 2026-09-17 · 1,200 LVD 47%R 45%D +2
- 2026-09-14 · 1,000 LVD 48%R 46%D +2
- 2026-09-14 · 803 LVD 48%R 45%D +3
- 2026-09-09 · 1,079 LVD 46%R 45%D +1
- SSRSA2026-09-06 · 843 LVD 47%R 44%D +3
- 2026-09-03 · 600 LVD 44%R 46%R +2
- 2026-08-28 · 332 LVD 49%R 45%D +4
- 2026-08-28 · 600 LVD 50%R 45%D +5
- 2026-08-20 · 779 LVD 50%R 45%D +5
- 2026-08-17 · 800 LVD 46%R 39%D +7
- 2026-08-11 · 877 LVD 48%R 47%D +1
- 2026-08-10 · 1,215 LVD 45%R 42%D +3
- 2026-08-10 · 800 LVD 50%R 44%D +6
- 2026-08-10 · 1,006 RVD 47%R 51%R +4
- 2026-07-31 · 600 LVD 43%R 46%R +3
- 2026-07-30 · 640 LVD 41%R 42%R +1
- 2026-07-29 · 672 LVD 45%R 45%Even
- 2026-07-24 · 600 LVD 39%R 49%R +10
- 2026-06-30 · 947 LVD 45%R 44%D +1
- 2026-06-22 · 709 LVD 47%R 46%D +1
- 2026-06-14 · 602 LVD 45%R 42%D +3
- 2026-06-13 · 827 LVD 47%R 42%D +5
- 2026-06-04 · 500 LVD 46%R 41%D +5
- 2026-05-23 · 1,163 LVD 43%R 42%D +1
- 2026-05-07 · 607 LVD 41%R 42%R +1
- 2026-05-01 · 600 LVD 40%R 45%R +5
- 2026-01-25 · 1,000 LVD 43%R 43%Even
- 2026-01-06 · 600 LVD 47%R 43%D +4
- 2025-11-21 · 616 LVD 38%R 41%R +3
- 2025-10-25 · 637 LVD 31%R 45%R +14
- 2025-05-08 · 600 RVD 41%R 47%R +6
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights(R)C | 2026-10-06 | 762 LV | 48% | 47% | D +1 |
| YouGovB | 2026-10-04 | 3,949 LV | 49% | 48% | D +1 |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsC | 2026-10-01 | 682 LV | 46% | 41% | D +5 |
| Trafalgar Group(R)C | 2026-09-30 | 1,085 LV | 47% | 45% | D +2 |
| Beacon Research /Shaw & Co. Research(D)A | 2026-09-28 | 1,028 LV | 50% | 49% | D +1 |
| Marist UniversityA | 2026-09-27 | 1,235 RV | 51% | 44% | D +7 |
| Big Data Poll(R)C | 2026-09-24 | 678 LV | 47% | 42% | D +5 |
| co/efficient(R)C | 2026-09-23 | 843 LV | 45% | 45% | Even |
| GBAO(D)C | 2026-09-22 | 800 LV | 48% | 44% | D +4 |
| New York Times/Siena UniversityA | 2026-09-22 | 605 LV | 49% | 44% | D +5 |
| Cygnal /Beacon Research(R)A | 2026-09-21 | 600 LV | 45% | 40% | D +5 |
| Suffolk UniversityA | 2026-09-20 | 500 LV | 47% | 40% | D +7 |
| Torchlight Strategies(R)C | 2026-09-19 | 643 LV | 43% | 44% | R +1 |
| InsiderAdvantage(R)C | 2026-09-17 | 1,200 LV | 47% | 45% | D +2 |
| Emerson CollegeA | 2026-09-14 | 1,000 LV | 48% | 46% | D +2 |
| The Washington Post/SSPGA | 2026-09-14 | 803 LV | 48% | 45% | D +3 |
| Trafalgar Group(R)C | 2026-09-09 | 1,079 LV | 46% | 45% | D +1 |
| SSRSA | 2026-09-06 | 843 LV | 47% | 44% | D +3 |
| Glengariff GroupC | 2026-09-03 | 600 LV | 44% | 46% | R +2 |
| Abacus DataC | 2026-08-28 | 332 LV | 49% | 45% | D +4 |
| EPIC-MRAC | 2026-08-28 | 600 LV | 50% | 45% | D +5 |
| Michigan State University/YouGovB | 2026-08-20 | 779 LV | 50% | 45% | D +5 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research(R)C | 2026-08-17 | 800 LV | 46% | 39% | D +7 |
| Fabrizio Ward /Impact Research(R)C | 2026-08-11 | 877 LV | 48% | 47% | D +1 |
| TIPP Insights(R)B | 2026-08-10 | 1,215 LV | 45% | 42% | D +3 |
| GBAO(D)C | 2026-08-10 | 800 LV | 50% | 44% | D +6 |
| Beacon Research /Shaw & Co. Research(D)A | 2026-08-10 | 1,006 RV | 47% | 51% | R +4 |
| EPIC-MRAC | 2026-07-31 | 600 LV | 43% | 46% | R +3 |
| SoCal Strategies(R)C | 2026-07-30 | 640 LV | 41% | 42% | R +1 |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsC | 2026-07-29 | 672 LV | 45% | 45% | Even |
| Glengariff GroupC | 2026-07-24 | 600 LV | 39% | 49% | R +10 |
| Quantus Insights(R)C | 2026-06-30 | 947 LV | 45% | 44% | D +1 |
| Data for Progress(D)B | 2026-06-22 | 709 LV | 47% | 46% | D +1 |
| Zenith Research(D)C | 2026-06-14 | 602 LV | 45% | 42% | D +3 |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsC | 2026-06-13 | 827 LV | 47% | 42% | D +5 |
| Tulchin Research(D)C | 2026-06-04 | 500 LV | 46% | 41% | D +5 |
| TIPP Insights(R)B | 2026-05-23 | 1,163 LV | 43% | 42% | D +1 |
| Mitchell ResearchC | 2026-05-07 | 607 LV | 41% | 42% | R +1 |
| Glengariff GroupC | 2026-05-01 | 600 LV | 40% | 45% | R +5 |
| Emerson CollegeA | 2026-01-25 | 1,000 LV | 43% | 43% | Even |
| Glengariff GroupC | 2026-01-06 | 600 LV | 47% | 43% | D +4 |
| Mitchell Research & CommunicationsC | 2025-11-21 | 616 LV | 38% | 41% | R +3 |
| Rosetta Stone Communications(R)C | 2025-10-25 | 637 LV | 31% | 45% | R +14 |
| Glengariff GroupC | 2025-05-08 | 600 RV | 41% | 47% | R +6 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportToss-up
- Decision Desk HQLean D
- The EconomistLean D
- FPOLean D
- Fox NewsToss-up
- Inside ElectionsLean D
- RealClearPoliticsToss-up
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean D
- Silver BulletinLikely D
- Split TicketLean D
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).