MI-07
Lean DMichigan · Current: Tom Barrett
William Lawrence is an American politician and activist who co-founded the Sunrise Movement, a climate action organization. He is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in Michigan's 7th congressional district in 2026. Wikipedia
Raised $1.1M · Spent $736K · Cash $383K (2026 cycle) · FEC
Thomas More Barrett is an American politician, financial analyst, and former U.S. Army officer serving as the U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district since 2025. A Republican, he previously served in the Michigan Senate from 2019 to 2023 and in the Michigan House of Representatives from 2015 to 2019. His congressional district covers a seven-county area that includes Lansing. Wikipedia
Raised $6.3M · Spent $3.5M · Cash $2.9M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 2 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-08-13 · 500 LVD 49%R 47%D +2
- 2026-06-30 · 772 LVD 48%R 46%D +2
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group(D)C | 2026-08-13 | 500 LV | 49% | 47% | D +2 |
| Data for Progress(D)B | 2026-06-30 | 772 LV | 48% | 46% | D +2 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportToss-up
- Inside ElectionsToss-up
- Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up
- The EconomistToss-up
- Split TicketflipLean D
- Decision Desk HQflipLean D
- FPOflipLikely D
- Fox NewsToss-up
- Silver BulletinflipLean D
- RealClearPoliticsflipLean D
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).