What if polls miss like 2024?
All House races

NV-02

Lean R

Nevada · Current Mark Amodei, not running

Democrat
Teresa Benitez-Thompson

Teresa Francisca Benitez-Thompson is an American politician, social worker, and former Democratic member of the Nevada Assembly. First elected February 7, 2011 to represent District 27 in Washoe County, Benitez-Thompson served as Majority Leader of the Nevada Assembly during her tenure. She was crowned Miss Nevada 2002 and placed third runner-up at the Miss America 2003 pageant. Wikipedia

Republican
Dave Flippo

Raised $2.9M · Spent $2.8M · Cash $161K in the 2026 cycle · FEC

Poll average

40.2%41.4%

Weighted by recency with a 14-day half-life, sample size, population and pollster quality. Uses 2 of 2 polls. With 5 or more in the last 14 days, only those count.

Polls over time

R+5EvenD+3Aug 26, 26Sep 3, 26

Individual polls

  • GBAOD sponsorC
    2026-09-03 · 500 LV
    D 38%R 37%D +1
  • 2026-08-26 · 400 LV
    D 42%R 45%R +3

Race ratings

Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia under CC BY-SA.

More from other sources

Early and absentee voting in Nevada

This is who has voted so far across the whole state, not how they voted. See every state on Live Voting Results

Nevada

142,878 ballots through Oct 24, 10 days out
2024
through Oct 26
220K ballots
2022
through Oct 29
134K ballots

Click the 2026 bar to see how this has built up day by day.

Democrat Republican Independent/other
  • vs. 2024 Dem −0.1 · Rep +0.3 · Ind −0.2 pts of ballots
  • vs. 2022 Dem −4.7 · Rep +1.7 · Ind +3.0 pts of ballots

Nevada's figures cover Clark County only, about 70% of Nevada's vote. Clark County dates a ballot when it logs it as received and it logs them in batches, with 79,000 on a single day in 2024, so day-by-day comparisons with earlier years are rough.

Source Clark County Election Department, mail ballot data. Nevada's figures cover Clark County only, about 70% of Nevada's vote. Clark County dates a ballot when it logs it as received and it logs them in batches, with 79,000 on a single day in 2024, so day-by-day comparisons with earlier years are rough.