NY-17
Lean DNew York · Current: Mike Lawler
Caitlin Conley is an American politician and national security official. She is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives for New York's 17th district in the 2026 election, challenging incumbent Republican Mike Lawler. Wikipedia
Raised $4.3M · Spent $3.0M · Cash $1.3M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Michael Vincent Lawler is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New York's 17th congressional district since 2023. The district includes all of Rockland County and Putnam County, as well as most of Northern Westchester County, and portions of southern Dutchess County. Previously, he was a member of the New York State Assembly representing the 97th district from 2021 to 2022. He is a member of… Wikipedia
Raised $8.2M · Spent $3.5M · Cash $4.8M (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 4 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-09-30 · 400 LVD 47%R 50%R +3
- 2026-09-29 · 400 LVD 48%R 46%D +2
- 2026-07-22 · 1,292 LVD 45%R 50%R +5
- 2026-07-01 · 509 LVD 51%R 45%D +6
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates(R)C | 2026-09-30 | 400 LV | 47% | 50% | R +3 |
| Emerson CollegeA | 2026-09-29 | 400 LV | 48% | 46% | D +2 |
| co/efficient(R)C | 2026-07-22 | 1,292 LV | 45% | 50% | R +5 |
| FM3 Research(D)C | 2026-07-01 | 509 LV | 51% | 45% | D +6 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportToss-up
- Inside ElectionsToss-up
- Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up
- The EconomistflipLean D
- Split TicketflipLean D
- Decision Desk HQToss-up
- FPOflipLikely D
- Fox NewsflipLean D
- Silver BulletinflipLean D
- RealClearPoliticsflipLean D
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).