All House races
NY-21
Lean RNew York · Current Elise Stefanik, not running
Poll average
44.9%44.4%
Weighted by recency with a 14-day half-life, sample size, population and pollster quality. Uses 8 of 8 polls. With 5 or more in the last 14 days, only those count.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-10-13 · 613 LVD 44%R 46%R +2
- 2026-10-06 · 496 LVD 46%R 42%D +4
- 2026-10-04 · 500 LVD 45%R 48%R +3
- 2026-09-10 · 557 RVD 43%R 48%R +5
- 2026-09-02 · 500 LVD 44%R 47%R +3
- 2026-08-17 · 500 LVD 40%R 50%R +10
- 2026-08-08 · 612 LVD 43%R 39%D +4
- 2026-05-31 · 500 LVD 44%R 45%R +1
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingD sponsorB | 2026-10-13 | 613 LV | 44% | 46% | R +2 |
| Siena UniversityA | 2026-10-06 | 496 LV | 46% | 42% | D +4 |
| Impact ResearchD sponsorC | 2026-10-04 | 500 LV | 45% | 48% | R +3 |
| Public Policy PollingD sponsorB | 2026-09-10 | 557 RV | 43% | 48% | R +5 |
| Impact ResearchD sponsorC | 2026-09-02 | 500 LV | 44% | 47% | R +3 |
| J.L. PartnersC | 2026-08-17 | 500 LV | 40% | 50% | R +10 |
| SurveyUSAB | 2026-08-08 | 612 LV | 43% | 39% | D +4 |
| Impact ResearchD sponsorC | 2026-05-31 | 500 LV | 44% | 45% | R +1 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportLean R
- Inside ElectionsLean R
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean R
- The EconomistLean R
- Split TicketLean R
- Decision Desk HQLikely R
- FPOLikely R
- Fox NewsLikely R
- Silver BulletinLean R
- RealClearPoliticsLikely R
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia under CC BY-SA.