VA-05
Lean RVirginia · Current: John McGuire
Thomas Stuart Price Perriello is an American attorney, diplomat, and politician. He previously served in numerous positions at the United States State Department, including special representative for the Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review, special envoy for the African Great Lakes, and special envoy for Sudan. A Democrat, Perriello served as the U.S. representative for Virginia's 5th congressional district… Wikipedia
Raised $2.1M · Spent $629K · Cash $1.5M (2026 cycle) · FEC
John Joseph McGuire III is an American politician, businessman, and former United States Navy SEAL serving as the U.S. representative for Virginia's 5th congressional district since 2025. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served in the Virginia Senate from 2024 to 2025 and in the Virginia House of Delegates from 2018 to 2024. Wikipedia
Raised $1.8M · Spent $1.3M · Cash $524K (2026 cycle) · FEC
Poll average
Weighted by recency (14-day half-life), sample size, population and pollster quality. 3 polls.
Polls over time
Individual polls
- 2026-09-28 · 600 LVD 45%R 51%R +6
- 2026-09-24 · 400 LVD 45%R 46%R +1
- 2026-08-01 · 602 LVD 44%R 47%R +3
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/SSPGA | 2026-09-28 | 600 LV | 45% | 51% | R +6 |
| Expedition Strategies(D)C | 2026-09-24 | 400 LV | 45% | 46% | R +1 |
| Expedition Strategies(D)C | 2026-08-01 | 602 LV | 44% | 47% | R +3 |
Race ratings
- Cook Political ReportLikely R
- Inside ElectionsLikely R
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean R
- The EconomistLean R
- Split TicketLikely R
- Decision Desk HQLikely R
- FPOLean R
- Fox NewsLean R
- Silver BulletinLean R
- RealClearPoliticsToss-up
Polls and ratings compiled from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).